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Group Stage Tue, Jun 16 · 08:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium, MiamiHigh · 76
Win probability
ARG 32%Draw 32%FRA 36%
Fair odds (model)
ARG
3.13
Draw
3.13
FRA
2.78
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
ARG · xG
1.65
FRA · xG
1.75
Total expected goals: 3.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Both teams to score
Yes76%
No24%
Model factors
- Argentina averages 1.65 xG over last 5 matches
- France conceding 0.72 goals/90 on the road
- Venue context favors France based on travel & altitude model
- Model uncertainty: ±7.0% on outcome distribution
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.