← Matches
Group Stage Wed, Jun 17 · 10:00 PM Gillette Stadium, FoxboroughLow · 55
Win probability
ENG 40%Draw 31%GER 29%
Fair odds (model)
ENG
2.50
Draw
3.23
GER
3.45
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
ENG · xG
1.85
GER · xG
1.55
Total expected goals: 3.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Both teams to score
Yes73%
No27%
Model factors
- England averages 1.85 xG over last 5 matches
- Germany conceding 0.82 goals/90 on the road
- Venue context favors England based on travel & altitude model
- Model uncertainty: ±10.0% on outcome distribution
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
Pro
LockedAdvanced match analytics coming soon
Market comparison, odds movement, injury impact, correct score matrix and advanced model breakdown. Preview features in development.
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.