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Group Stage Wed, Jun 17 · 01:00 AM Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas CityHigh · 82
Win probability
ARG 63.4%Draw 22.6%ALG 14%
Fair odds (model)
ARG
1.58
Draw
4.42
ALG
7.14
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
ARG · xG
1.75
ALG · xG
0.98
Total expected goals: 2.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
Yes47.6%
No52.4%
Model factors
- Beta model rating comparison favors Argentina clearly.
- Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
- Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
- Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
Pro
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.