World Cup 2026 · Public Beta

World Cup 2026 Predictions & Match Probabilities

Explore model probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and confidence scores for World Cup 2026 matches.

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Brazil vs Spain

Model probability differs from simple pre-match expectations.

Model confidence

Brazil vs Spain

Confidence 83 · Group Stage

Public beta preview · Full tournament dataset coming soon

Free during public beta. Pro launches before kickoff.

Featured

Matches to watch

Live probability breakdowns for the highest-interest fixtures.

Current public beta uses a limited set of sample fixtures while the full World Cup 2026 dataset is being prepared.

Model signalHigh · 76

Jun 16 · 08:00 PMMiami

Model signalHigh · 83

Jun 16 · 09:00 PMSeattle

Model signalLow · 55

Jun 17 · 10:00 PMFoxborough

Model signalMedium · 62

Netherlands flag

Jun 17 · 11:00 PMToronto

Methodology

How the model works

Team strength ratings

Elo-style ratings updated after every international fixture, weighted by competition tier.

Expected goals (xG)

Per-team attacking and defensive xG distributions inform the match-level scoreline simulation.

Calibrated uncertainty

Every probability is paired with a confidence score so you know how strong the signal is.

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Bet responsibly

MatchEdge AI is not betting advice. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Help is available if gambling stops being fun.

MatchEdge AI is an independent football analytics project. It is not affiliated with FIFA. Information is for entertainment and informational purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.