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Belgium vs Egypt prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group G   Lumen Field, SeattleOfficial fixture
Belgium flag
Belgium
Group G · Elo 1874
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Egypt flag
Egypt
Group G · Elo 1676
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 54
BEL 54.2%Draw 28.1%EGY 17.7%
Belgium most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
BEL xG
1.42
EGY xG
1.23
Total xG
2.65
Confidence
54
Medium
Expected goals duel
Belgium flagBEL1.42
Egypt flagEGY1.23
Total xG estimate: 2.65
Fair odds (model)
BEL
1.85
Draw
3.56
EGY
5.65

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to score
Yes52.1%
No47.9%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
88
MID
87
DEF
85
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
79
MID
78
DEF
77
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.