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Belgium vs IR Iran prediction
View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group G SoFi Stadium, Los AngelesOfficial fixture
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 51BEL 47.3%Draw 29.5%IRN 23.2%
Belgium most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
BEL xG
1.38
IRN xG
1.23
Total xG
2.61
Confidence
51
Medium
Expected goals duel
BEL1.38
IRN1.23Total xG estimate: 2.61
Fair odds (model)
BEL
2.11
Draw
3.39
IRN
4.31
Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.544.5%
Under 2.555.5%
Both teams to score
Yes52.1%
No47.9%
Model factors
- External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
- FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
- Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
- Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
88
MID
87
DEF
85
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
78
MID
79
DEF
80
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.