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Brazil vs Haiti prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group C   Lincoln Financial Field, PhiladelphiaOfficial fixture
Brazil flag
Brazil
Group C · Elo 1984
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Haiti flag
Haiti
Group C · Elo 1412
Match prediction snapshot
Medium · 69
BRA 70.3%Draw 21.2%HAI 8.5%
Brazil most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
BRA xG
1.58
HAI xG
1.05
Total xG
2.63
Confidence
69
Medium
Expected goals duel
Brazil flagBRA1.58
Haiti flagHAI1.05
Total xG estimate: 2.63
Fair odds (model)
BRA
1.42
Draw
4.72
HAI
11.76

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to score
Yes48.9%
No51.1%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
94
MID
92
DEF
88
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
66
MID
66
DEF
66
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.