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Czechia vs South Africa prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group A   Mercedes-Benz Stadium, AtlantaOfficial fixture
Czechia flag
Czechia
Group A · Elo 1654
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
South Africa flag
South Africa
Group A · Elo 1522
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 54
CZE 55.3%Draw 27.8%RSA 16.9%
Czechia most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
CZE xG
1.33
RSA xG
1.16
Total xG
2.49
Confidence
54
Medium
Expected goals duel
Czechia flagCZE1.33
South Africa flagRSA1.16
Total xG estimate: 2.49
Fair odds (model)
CZE
1.81
Draw
3.60
RSA
5.92

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to score
Yes50.9%
No49.1%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
76
MID
77
DEF
78
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
70
MID
71
DEF
72
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.