← Matches
Group Stage Wed, Jun 17 · 08:00 PM AT&T Stadium, ArlingtonLow · 59
Win probability
ENG 46.7%Draw 28.5%CRO 24.8%
Fair odds (model)
ENG
2.14
Draw
3.51
CRO
4.03

Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.

Expected goals
ENG · xG
1.35
CRO · xG
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.45
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Both teams to score
Yes49.8%
No50.2%
Model factors
  • Beta model rating comparison favors England clearly.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
  • Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
Pro
Locked

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.