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Group Stage Tue, Jun 16 · 04:00 PM MetLife Stadium, East RutherfordHigh · 78
Win probability
FRA 60.2%Draw 25%SEN 14.8%
Fair odds (model)
FRA
1.66
Draw
4.00
SEN
6.76
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
FRA · xG
1.60
SEN · xG
1.05
Total expected goals: 2.65
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to score
Yes48.9%
No51.1%
Model factors
- Beta model rating comparison favors France clearly.
- Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
- Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
- Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.