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Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group E   BMO Field, TorontoOfficial fixture
Germany flag
Germany
Group E · Elo 1896
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Côte d'Ivoire flag
Côte d'Ivoire
Group E · Elo 1676
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 57
GER 59.8%Draw 26.8%CIV 13.4%
Germany most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
GER xG
1.45
CIV xG
1.21
Total xG
2.66
Confidence
57
Medium
Expected goals duel
Germany flagGER1.45
Côte d'Ivoire flagCIV1.21
Total xG estimate: 2.66
Fair odds (model)
GER
1.67
Draw
3.73
CIV
7.46

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.545.2%
Under 2.554.8%
Both teams to score
Yes51.8%
No48.2%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
89
MID
88
DEF
86
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
79
MID
78
DEF
77
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.