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Ghana vs Panama prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group L   Hard Rock Stadium, MiamiOfficial fixture
Ghana flag
Ghana
Group L · Elo 1632
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Panama flag
Panama
Group L · Elo 1500
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 55
GHA 15.6%Draw 27.5%PAN 56.9%
Panama most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
GHA xG
1.22
PAN xG
1.34
Total xG
2.56
Confidence
55
Medium
Expected goals duel
Ghana flagGHA1.22
Panama flagPAN1.34
Total xG estimate: 2.56
Fair odds (model)
GHA
6.41
Draw
3.64
PAN
1.76

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
78
MID
76
DEF
74
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
70
MID
70
DEF
70
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.