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Haiti vs Scotland prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group C   Gillette Stadium, FoxboroughOfficial fixture
Haiti flag
Haiti
Group C · Elo 1412
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Scotland flag
Scotland
Group C · Elo 1654
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 57
HAI 12.7%Draw 26.5%SCO 60.8%
Scotland most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
HAI xG
1.14
SCO xG
1.36
Total xG
2.50
Confidence
57
Medium
Expected goals duel
Haiti flagHAI1.14
Scotland flagSCO1.36
Total xG estimate: 2.50
Fair odds (model)
HAI
7.87
Draw
3.77
SCO
1.64

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to score
Yes50.5%
No49.5%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
66
MID
66
DEF
66
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
76
MID
77
DEF
78
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.