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Group Stage Sat, Jun 27 · 10:00 PM AT&T Stadium, ArlingtonHigh · 82
Win probability
IRQ 13.8%Draw 22%FRA 64.2%
Fair odds (model)
IRQ
7.25
Draw
4.55
FRA
1.56
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
IRQ · xG
0.83
FRA · xG
1.73
Total expected goals: 2.56
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.4%
Under 2.541.6%
Both teams to score
Yes44.9%
No55.1%
Model factors
- Beta model rating comparison favors France clearly.
- Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
- Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
- Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
Pro
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.