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Group Stage Tue, Jun 23 · 01:00 AM NRG Stadium, HoustonMedium · 64
Win probability
IRQ 21.2%Draw 27.4%SEN 51.4%
Fair odds (model)
IRQ
4.72
Draw
3.65
SEN
1.95
Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.
Expected goals
IRQ · xG
1.08
SEN · xG
1.43
Total expected goals: 2.51
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
Both teams to score
Yes49.4%
No50.6%
Model factors
- Beta model rating comparison favors Senegal clearly.
- Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
- Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
- Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%
MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.