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Group Stage Tue, Jun 16 · 10:00 PM Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas CityMedium · 62
Win probability
NOR 49.1%Draw 27.9%IRQ 23%
Fair odds (model)
NOR
2.04
Draw
3.58
IRQ
4.35

Decimal odds derived from model probabilities. Excludes bookmaker margin.

Expected goals
NOR · xG
1.48
IRQ · xG
1.18
Total expected goals: 2.66
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to score
Yes51.2%
No48.8%
Model factors
  • Beta model rating comparison favors Norway clearly.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack and defense scores.
  • Draw probability remains elevated for closely rated teams.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.