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Senegal vs Norway prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group I   MetLife Stadium, East RutherfordOfficial fixture
Senegal flag
Senegal
Group I · Elo 1742
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Norway flag
Norway
Group I · Elo 1720
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 46
SEN 33.5%Draw 31.9%NOR 34.6%
Norway most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
SEN xG
1.32
NOR xG
1.36
Total xG
2.68
Confidence
46
Low
Expected goals duel
Senegal flagSEN1.32
Norway flagNOR1.36
Total xG estimate: 2.68
Fair odds (model)
SEN
2.99
Draw
3.13
NOR
2.89

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.545.7%
Under 2.554.3%
Both teams to score
Yes53.8%
No46.2%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
82
MID
81
DEF
80
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
84
MID
80
DEF
76
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.