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Switzerland vs Canada prediction

View model-based probabilities, expected goals, fair odds and team context for this World Cup 2026 fixture.

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Group B   BC Place, VancouverOfficial fixture
Switzerland flag
Switzerland
Group B · Elo 1764
VS
  
Time shown in your local timezone.
Canada flag
Canada
Group B · Elo 1676
Match prediction snapshot
Low · 50
SUI 45.9%Draw 29.8%CAN 24.3%
Switzerland most likely · Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
SUI xG
1.31
CAN xG
1.24
Total xG
2.55
Confidence
50
Medium
Expected goals duel
Switzerland flagSUI1.31
Canada flagCAN1.24
Total xG estimate: 2.55
Fair odds (model)
SUI
2.18
Draw
3.36
CAN
4.12

Fair odds are derived from model probabilities and exclude bookmaker margin. Informational only — not betting advice.

Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to score
Yes52.3%
No47.7%
Model factors
  • External Elo rating is the primary team-strength input.
  • FIFA ranking is used as a secondary reference.
  • Expected goals are estimated from attack, defense and rating strength.
  • Predictions are probabilistic and not guarantees.
Experimental public beta model. Projection includes uncertainty and should not be treated as a guarantee.
ATT
80
MID
82
DEF
83
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.
ATT
78
MID
78
DEF
77
Last 5 results0 pts · 0-0 GF/GA
No verified recent results.

Recent form is informational and not a guarantee.

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0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-3
3.6%

MatchEdge AI is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. This is not betting advice.